#10302 • Icons
STRONG SIGNALOptimus Prime
Released: 2022 • 1,508 pcs
$169.99 → ~$272 aftermarket
Stock thinning at LEGO.com; missing from VIP rewards as of late 2025.
2026 Retirement Tracker
LEGO sets retiring in 2026.
Quarter-by-quarter list with confidence levels and aftermarket price predictions. The sets here typically gain 40–250% within 18 months of EOL.
8
Sets tracked
3
Strong signals
2026
Tracker year
Last refreshed: May 10, 2026
⚠ Buy now
Q1 2026 January – March.
2 sets
#21326 • Ideas
STRONG SIGNALWinnie the Pooh
Released: 2021 • 1,265 pcs
$99.99 → ~$180 aftermarket
Past the typical 4-year Ideas window; Disney IP licensing renewal pressure.
⚠ Buy now
Q2 2026 April – June.
2 sets
#10283 • Icons
PROJECTIONNASA Space Shuttle Discovery
Released: 2021 • 2,354 pcs
$199.99 → ~$300 aftermarket
5-year mark hits in 2026; Icons display sets typically retire at Q2.
#21318 • Ideas
STRONG SIGNALTree House
Released: 2019 • 3,036 pcs
$249.99 → ~$425 aftermarket
7 years on shelves — extreme outlier for Ideas. Likely Q2 final call.
Watch closely
Q3 2026 July – September.
2 sets
#75192 • Star Wars
PROJECTIONMillennium Falcon (UCS)
Released: 2017 • 7,541 pcs
$849.99 → ~$1,870 aftermarket
Original 10179 UCS Falcon retired after 4 years; the 2017 reissue has now run 9. The longest active Star Wars UCS in history — overdue.
#71043 • Harry Potter
PROJECTIONHogwarts Castle
Released: 2018 • 6,020 pcs
$469.99 → ~$940 aftermarket
8 years; complex molds; signature flagship pattern matches retired Death Star (10188) lifecycle.
On the radar
Q4 2026 October – December.
2 sets
#10307 • Icons
PROJECTIONEiffel Tower
Released: 2022 • 10,001 pcs
$629.99 → ~$882 aftermarket
Flagship 18+ landmark; 4-year mark approaching. Past Eiffel (10181, 10307 predecessor) ran ~7 years.
#76989 • Gaming
PROJECTIONHorizon Forbidden West Tallneck
Released: 2022 • 1,222 pcs
$79.99 → ~$200 aftermarket
Niche video-game IP, 4-year mark; gaming licensing rarely renewed past one cycle.
How this list is built
We don't fabricate retirement dates.
- CONFIRMED EOL — LEGO has officially flagged the set as retiring (removed from VIP rewards is the strongest single signal — typically a 60–90 day countdown).
- STRONG SIGNAL — Sustained discounting, "while stocks last" labeling, missing from major retailers, or LEGO cycling out catalog imagery. Not yet announced, but the writing is on the wall.
- PROJECTION — No public signal yet, but the set has been on shelves ~5+ years (the typical 18+ Icons / UCS lifespan) and falls within the 2026 retirement window. These are the speculative "buy before announcement" picks.
- Aftermarket multiples are based on past retirement data. Recent flagship retirements: Cafe Corner (10182) hit 17× MSRP, Imperial Star Destroyer (75252) hit 1.5× within 12 months, Ghostbusters Ecto-1 (10274) hit 2.2×. Predictions assume sealed condition, retail packaging, 18-month hold window.
- No insider info. Anyone who tells you otherwise is guessing or making it up. LEGO doesn't pre-announce retirement to retailers, let alone publishers. We track signals and we're honest about confidence.
Already retired?